Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 63.752357 72.229305 80.930676 90.497316 100.688041 111.189234 122.798509
2025-07-20 51.859752 64.114175 77.287539 92.366894 109.022891 126.742105 146.904052
2025-07-27 43.486709 57.635480 73.397318 91.979310 113.029110 135.904620 162.421774
2025-08-03 36.846215 52.179048 69.833732 91.197841 115.926608 143.277904 175.461648
2025-08-10 32.246173 48.533360 67.850780 91.758598 119.933759 151.546445 189.190240
2025-08-17 27.827654 44.620627 65.145217 91.110988 122.237881 157.629340 200.232451
2025-08-24 24.498097 41.735175 63.401689 91.359564 125.379583 164.504349 212.035278
2025-08-31 21.100042 38.414550 60.840730 90.375456 126.859098 169.292253 221.304088
2025-09-07 19.037798 36.706440 60.177006 91.605820 130.897416 177.001225 233.903214
2025-09-14 17.336258 35.337101 59.828799 93.131399 135.218599 184.991813 246.796623
2025-09-21 15.024024 32.841398 57.806515 92.376988 136.620723 189.417812 255.430872
2025-09-28 12.542379 29.814461 54.857669 90.252487 136.181380 191.524375 261.230617
2025-10-05 11.962020 29.776169 56.083237 93.661824 142.769549 202.233350 277.405029
2025-10-12 11.014948 29.039504 56.259942 95.639926 147.530721 210.724227 290.950883
2025-10-19 9.524570 27.206563 54.734758 95.232851 149.174724 215.348661 299.814104
2025-10-26 8.105382 25.313405 52.996064 94.437351 150.244795 219.213369 307.721234
2025-11-02 7.153473 24.159837 52.290163 95.009231 153.049246 225.199290 318.185049
2025-11-09 6.045461 22.537898 50.759761 94.348467 154.181012 229.061360 326.034106
2025-11-16 5.237137 21.401220 49.914393 94.602108 156.480735 234.360779 335.626182
2025-11-23 4.301865 19.816634 48.246056 93.597882 157.049926 237.441971 342.466386
2025-11-30 3.832128 19.218407 48.153283 94.853386 160.632395 244.328630 353.998206
2025-12-07 3.450609 18.769837 48.278771 96.409939 164.612091 251.719447 366.160674
2025-12-14 2.795024 17.470248 46.873006 95.640238 165.394256 255.005984 373.217685